Wednesday, October 05, 2005

Miers' Constancy: Assessing Our Prior

The New York Times:
"I know her well enough to be able to say that she's not going to change, that 20 years from now she'll be the same person with the same philosophy that she is today," Mr. Bush said.
The New York Times:
[In 1989] Ms. Miers, born Roman Catholic, became an evangelical Christian and began identifying more with Republicans than with the Democrats who had long held sway over Texas politics. She joined the missions committee of her church, which is against legalized abortion, and friends and colleagues say she rarely looked back at her past as a Democrat.
Given that in the last twenty years she's switched religion and party, who's to say that in the next twenty years she won't switch religion and party again? What faith should be placed in Bush's assurances that she will be the same person in twenty years? Given someone who has already done that switch once, we would anticipate a significantly higher probability of them doing it again than one who has never switched. Right?

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